Hurricane Melissa begins to turn towards Jamaica
Powerful Hurricane Melissa has begun to turn toward Jamaica, while moving over the Caribbean sea south of the island.
A hurricane warning remains in effect for the country.
Tropical storm conditions are occurring over Jamaica and catastrophic hurricane-force wind conditions are expected to begin tonight and continue into Tuesday.
At 4:00 p.m., the centre of Hurricane Melissa was located near latitude 16.7 degrees north, 78.4 degrees west.
This is 225 kilometres (140 miles) southwest of Kingston, or 178 kilometres (111 miles) south of Negril point.
Melissa is moving toward the northwest near 6 km/h or 3 mph.
A slow turn toward the north is expected this evening, followed by a turn toward the northeast and a faster forward speed on Tuesday.
On the forecast track, the core of Melissa is expected to start moving over jamaica tonight and early Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 280 km/h or 175 mph), with higher gusts.
Melissa is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale.
Some fluctuations in intensity are likely before melissa makes landfall on Jamaica, as an extremely powerful major hurricane, on Tuesday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 km (30 miles) from the centre and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward 315 km (195 miles).
Doppler radar and satellite images show that outer bands of Hurricane Melissa have been producing periods of moderate to heavy rainfall over mainly southern and western sections of Jamaica over the past few hours.
Hurricane Melissa is expected to produce rainfall amounts reaching 350-750 mm (15-30 inches) over parts of Jamaica in the next couple of days, especially over central and eastern parishes, with higher amounts over hilly terrain.
Catastrophic flash floods and landslides are likely.
Tropical storm conditions are occurring over Jamaica, and catastrophic hurricane-force wind conditions are expected to begin tonight and continue into Tuesday.
Life-threatening storm surge, accompanied by large and destructive waves, are likely along the south coast of Jamaica tonight and on Tuesday, peaking at 9 to 13 feet above ground level near and to the east of where the centre of melissa makes landfall.
On the northwestern coast, there is the possibility of 1-3 foot storm surge above ground level.
Small craft operators, including fishers on the cays and banks, are reminded to remain in safe harbour until all warning messages have been lifted and wind and sea conditions have returned to normal.
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